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Paul Williams' European Tour Tips

Paul williams' 2021 european tour tips.

Paul Williams is one of our resident golf tipsters and he focuses exclusively on European Tour tips. Links to all of the previews for the 2021 European Tour season events that Paul has covered are detailed below.

For notification of when each week’s tips are published, you can follow Paul on twitter here: @golfbetting ; Paul is also a regular contributor to the GBS facebook group, join here: GBS facebook – with over 6,000 active members, if you enjoy golf betting then joining our group is an absolute must!

We’re rebuilding our old tips pages at the moment, you can access what’s currently available here: 2020 –  2019 –  2018  – 2017

2021 European Tour Tips P&L

How to play golf: Tour pro strategy lessons

Published: 21 August 2020 Last updated: 13 August 2021

Strategy tips from the world's best golfers.

European Tour, PGA Tour, Major and Ryder Cup winners share their golf strategy secrets to help you play better golf, lower your handicap and win those matchplay clashes with your mates.

As amateur golfers so many of us fail to lower our handicaps or enjoy matchplay success because, despite physically knowing how to play golf, we drop silly shots due to poor strategy on the golf course.

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We asked a selection of European Tour, PGA Tour, Major and Ryder Cup winners to share their professional golf strategy lessons to help you play smarter golf and achieve your goals. whether it’s to lower your handicap, break 100, 90 or 80 or simply take the bragging rights in your next matchplay clash with your mates.

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Lee Westwood: “Know your average yardages”

Handicap golfers don’t hit enough club a lot of the time, so they often find themselves coming up short. Most of the trouble is at the front of the green, so you’re usually better off being long than short.

It also doesn’t help that most people think they hit the ball further than they really do. Choose your club based on your average carry distance and favour the longer club if you’re in doubt – unless there’s serious trouble just over the green.

I write my average carry distances on my clubheads as a reminder.

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Soren Kjeldsen: “Leave yourself below the hole”

Shorter par 4s often have tricky greens as one of their main defences, so consult a yardage book to see where the slopes are and how severe they are.

Sometimes eight-feet uphill can be easier than four feet downhill or across a slope – even if it means leaving a chip short on purpose, rather than running it too far past.

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Ian Poulter: “How to win at matchplay”

Be aggressive. If there’s an opportunity to get to a green, I’ll go for it. On a short par 4, or somewhere that gives the best chance of making three, I will be really aggressive in matchplay. You’ve got to take on risks. Cautious golf doesn’t win in matchplay.

You have to hit driver where you can to leave yourself as short an approach as possible.  If you don’t, your opponent will, and you don’t want to give him a chance.

Make them hole out I’ve heard this idea about giving putts early to pile the pressure on later, but it’s absolute nonsense. If you give a three-foot putt, a player is entitled to put the ball down and hit it as a practice anyway, so it’s irrelevant. Make them hole everything but a simple tap-in every time.

Expect the unexpected. As much as I’m trying to hole everything, I always expect my opponent to do the same. Even if it looks as though your opponent is out of the hole, you still expect them to hole their next shot.

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However, there are times to be sensible. Birdies are what win holes, but if your opponent has hit it in the water and the best they can do is bogey, there is no point being overly aggressive and bringing in an error for them to get off the hook. Take par if that’s what you need to win the hole – just keep your opponent under pressure.

Ryan Fox: “Choose the best lay-up”

If I’m laying-up I’d prefer to leave myself a full swing, but it depends on the flag.

If it’s at the back and you have a lot of green to work with, the closer you can get to the green the better. But if it’s at the front, a lot of the time you can’t bounce it in, so you’ve got to leave yourself a full shot so you can stop the ball with height and spin.

Francesco Molinari: “Play for the middle of the green”

For the average golfer, the secret to hitting more greens is picking a club that should find the safety of the middle of the green.

You shouldn’t always just go for the flags because, very often, doing so can leave you in all kinds of trouble.Always play to the distance of the middle of the green.

Percentage-wise it’s much simpler and is likely to give you a better scoring chance than going, say, for a short flag and coming up short, or going for a back flag and flying the green!

Chris Paisley: “It sounds obvious, but keep the ball in play!”

It depends on the length of the hole and course, but you don’t always need to take driver on every par 4 and 5

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You can save yourself a lot of strokes by getting the ball in play with a 3-wood, especially if driver brings hazards more into play or you can’t reach a par 5 in two anyway.

Colin Montgomerie: “Take your punishment and don’t make it worse”

Too many amateurs try to do too much, rather than thinking positionally to make the next shot as easy as possible.

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If you find yourself in trouble make sure you get out of it as easily as possible – you don’t want turn a bogey into a double or triple.

Andrea Pavan: “Consider using a driving iron off the tee”

I use my 18° driving iron quite a lot. It’s an integral club in my bag. It’s really good off the tee on tougher driving holes, especially when the fairways are hard and fast in the summer.

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The lower flight is really good when it’s windy and it can go pretty far; it’s also good for hitting second shots into par 5s. I’ve used a hybrid in the past, but I prefer the long iron off the tee, so I stick with it from week-to-week. The only drawback is that it’s not as good out of the rough as a hybrid.

To hit driving iron your ball should be just ahead of centre, but it has to be before the low point of your swing – under your left shoulder – to help you hit slightly down.

Everything else is like a normal iron shot – good balance, weight centred between the feet, and a slight forward lean of the shaft at address.

Peter Hanson: “Aim on the safe side”

Even if you’re feeling comfortable and you have a relatively short club in your hand, I’d still aim three or four yards to the safe side of the pin if it’s near the edge of the green – just left if it’s on the right, just right if it’s on the left, just long if it’s at the front, and just short if it’s at the back.

Never take dead aim at the flag because you always want to give yourself a bit of margin when the penalty for missing the green is so harsh. 

Marcel Siem: “Check the pin position”

It’s vital you walk to a position where you can see the green and flag if the shot is blind, especially if it’s a hole you’re not very familiar with.

The pin position and any hazards around the putting surface will obviously affect the club you need to hit, but also where you can’t miss the green and what miss will leave a simple up-and-down.

Bernd Wiesberger: “Use your shots, that’s what your handicap is for”

If you have a handicap, then a hole’s par is meaningless. Adjusting the par on the card with the shots you get will make a good round seem much more achievable and prevent you making big mistakes.

Target holes where you think you can beat your par but acknowledge holes where bogey (or even double) is acceptable – just not a blow-out!

Chris Kirk: “Increase your margin for error”

Think about the shape of the hole. A straight drive may give you 15 yards to work with in the landing zone, while a draw will shrink your target to five-10 yards, and a fade will increase it to 20-30 yards.

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If the hole doesn’t suit your shot shape, then take a shorter club that puts you in a more generous part of the fairway.

Joost Luiten: “Play the percentages on par 4s”

It’s always tempting to hit driver and get the ball as close as you can to the green on shorter par 4s. But that isn’t always your best chance of making birdie or par, especially when there’s more danger around your driver landing area.

The benefit of a shorter par 4 is you can aim for the wider part of the fairway with less club and still leave a short iron to the green. Sometimes, accept you’ll have a little longer shot in if that makes it easier to hit the fairway with your tee shot.

I’d rather have 130 from the fairway than 100 yards out of the rough or a trap because you can control the ball better.

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Golf Betting Tips: European Tour's 2021 Betfred British Masters

With this week's European Tour action starting on Wednesday, take a look at our top three bets for the week.

After successfully tipping Rory McIlroy to win the Wells Fargo Championship on the PGA Tour last week at 20/1, we're back with our next round of betting tips and this time it's for the European Tour's Betfred British Masters.

It's the first European Tour event that we have been excited about in a long time, given the scheduling struggles surrounding Covid and the lack of the tour's top stars taking part in events, but the action at the Belfry this week will certainly be entertaining.

Starting on Wednesday, this year's British Masters is hosted by former Masters champion Danny Willett on the iconic Brabazon course at the Belfry, known for hosting four Ryder Cups in the past.

Recent European Tour events have proved to be a little easy for the field lately, where driving well and chipping onto the green has resulted in plenty of birdies, but the Belfry will prove a challenging test this week, especially with the poor weather conditions predicted.

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EDDIE PEPPERELL - 40/1 EW

One of our three selections this week is an each way bet on Eddie Pepperell at 40/1.

Having previously won the British Masters when it was played at Walton Heath, Pepperell overcame tough conditions to get the job done, something that will be required for this week's champion.

The Englishman's form in the tournament in general is extremely solid and had he played in more European Tour over the past few months his price would be a lot shorter, so he's definitely worth an each way bet.

MATTHIAS SCHWAB - 25/1

With three top 10's in his last four starts on the European Tour, Matthias Schwab goes into the British Masters in decent form and the Belfry will suit his game very well.

Solid iron play will be required this week and Schwab is one of the best ball strikers in that field, so we like the chances of the Austrian landing his first European Tour victory.

BENJAMIN HEBERT - 150/1 EW

Our final selection is a risky one, but with odds of 150/1, we think Benjamin Hebert is worth a small each way punt this week.

The Frenchman has missed the cut on his last two European Tour events, but when the ISPS HANDA UK Championship was played here in 2020, Hebert finished in a tie for third alongside Martin Kaymer, so he could find some form at a course where he has performed well in the past.

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2021 Portugal Masters – Preview & Tips

By matt tizzard | nov 2, 2021.

As an Englishman when I think of Portugal and The Portugal Masters, my mind casts back to stepping off the TapAir A300. Being welcomed with that unfamiliar wave of warm air wrapping around my face, in tandem with the polite air hostess thanking me for my travel.

I quickly think of the local bars that Vilamoura are going to bless me with. I couldn’t remember the name of the cocktail bar we visited,  so I googled it –  only to find the first choice is “O’Neil’s Irish Bar.” It then dawned on me, that Vilamoura and the Algarve is a typical “Brits abroad” location.

Therefore, it will be no surprise to see this week’s English players backed well by a British crowd at the 2021 Portugal Masters. Played around the holiday and resort-style course of Dom Pedro Victoria Golf Course, many Brits will be out in force to support players like Matt Wallace, Laurie Canter, Sam Horsfield & Beef!

It’s a flat, target-driven course and of Arnold Palmer design. The greens have complexities throughout, which can make saving par challenging for missed greens.

However, I don’t suspect this to be an issue for players that come into the week with a swing intact. The weather looks a little chillier than usual for a Portugal Masters, around the 15C mark, and the elements will only tackle the players with a light 4MPH breeze.

Greens in Regulation are the order of the week, and I will entertain you with ball strikers that can go on to win. I won’t look to ignore putting, because of our previous 2 winners. George Coetzee & Steven Brown lead the way in strokes gained putting in their respective wins. But my play this week for Fantasy league and my golf tips is to lean towards those that will give themselves chances and hope I run into one with a hot putter!

"I expect that the 20 under mark will likely be the winning number, yet it could be lower. We saw Tom Lewis make 27 birdies in 2018, the same year Oliver Fisher shot the first ever European Tour 59."

Previous Winners

2020  George Coetzee −16  Laurie Canter

2019  Steven Brown −17  Brandon Stone, Justin Walters

2018  Tom Lewis (2) −22  Lucas Herbert, Eddie Pepperell

2017  Lucas Bjerregaard −20  Marc Warren

2016  Pádraig Harrington −23  Andy Sullivan

2015  Andy Sullivan −23  Chris Wood

2014  Alexander Lévy −18  Nicolas Colsaerts

2013  David Lynn −18  Justin Walters

2012  Shane Lowry −14  Ross Fisher

2011  Tom Lewis −21  Rafa Cabrera-Bello

2010  Richard Green −18  Gonzalo Fernández-Castaño, Robert Karlsson, Joost Luiten, Francesco Molinari

2009  Lee Westwood −23  Francesco Molinari

2008  Álvaro Quirós −19  Paul Lawrie

2007  Steve Webster −25  Robert Karlsson

• Strokes gained in approach
• Stroke gained putting

Selections (Consider WynnBET for your selections this week across multiple sports!)

Laurie Canter –  (2u EW)

Being the time of year, I have watched some cracking horror films recently. Nothing though will compare to Laurie’s closing 76 in the final round of the Estrella Damm Andalucía Masters. I genuinely had a pillow in front of my face.

Nevertheless, the question for me was how does Laurie react to a collapse like that? The answer was a T5th and closing 64 at The Mallorca Golf Open a couple of weeks ago. Perhaps not being strictly in contention relaxed him, and he was able to swing freely without the pressure of being in the mix. Just what the doctor ordered, following the Andalucia collapse.

For me, I want to catch Laurie while he is hot. He enters this week with 3 recent top 10 finishes. I also want to note that 2020 Portugal Masters winner George Coetzee trended well in 2019 here. Laurie did the same finishing 2nd in 2020.

My worry is that for the same or similar odds you can pick up an in-form Matt Wallace or a Sam Horsfield. However, I stick with my guns and continue to back Laurie, hoping for a birdie chainsaw massacre.

Jamie Donaldson – (0.5u EW)

Jamie is playing well. I watched him at the BMW on the Friday and was massively impressed with his ball-striking and putting, amongst a bundle of birdies that lead to a 66.

Another performance of note was in the Cazoo Classic where Jamie finished 3rd, albeit against a weaker field to this one.

He doesn’t tend to play the Portugal Masters but he does step back onto the tee with some form.

He does have a T2nd on the European Tour in the Algarve in the old sister event, The Algarve Open, so maybe some positive experiences to draw upon. Jamie is one of the most senior members of the European Tour.

He gets there on my strokes gained in Approach stat at +0.26. I think this course is one where off the tee isn’t as essential, which will suit the big Welshman. He is also ahead of most of the field in putts per green in regulation (-0.02), with leaders like Garrick Higgo on (-0.06).

This combination of better than average in approach play and on the putting green is what I am looking for. Combine that with some form and there could be a push from Donaldson and a run at a return to the winners’ circle.

Kalle Samooja – (1u EW)

Kalle smashes my target stats and has one good finish around the Portugal Masters in recent years, finishing -10 & T21st in 2019. That year Samooja was 2nd to Justin Walters in Strokes gained in approach (+2.01 vs +2.19).

A trend that has continued through the years. Kalle currently picks up +2.48 strokes on the tour average in greens in regulation and +0.48 stroke on the short stuff throughout the 2021 season.

I think Kalle is a solid pick this week and you will find great value in the price offered (90/1 – 110/1)

Renato Paratore (1.25u EW)

This course is very forgiving which I hope will lead to many birdie puts for Renato. If that is the case and he can find the greens, then we are right to expect birdies. He is 3rd on the European Tour for strokes gained putting (+0.89). He finally rolled the ball very well here in 2018 when he lead in this stat.

It looked like his season was going to fritter away following 4 missed cuts in a row but has picked himself up with a T11 most recently in Mallorca, a T25 at the Andalucia (including a final round 75), and a T9 in the Open de Espania.

His long game is there for him to compete albeit not quite at the levels of a Canter or Samoja. He does tend to just about pick up shots on the field in approach. With the greens being as big as they are this week, on the resort-style course, by giving himself chances he could get on a role and put himself in with a chance.

Oliver Fisher – (0.25u EW)

Often the forgotten man who pops up into start sheets and occasionally leaderboards over recent years, Oliver Fisher famously shot the first 59 around this course in 2018. Also featured in 2019 finishing -12 and only 5 shots behind eventual winner Tom Lewis.

Form again with Oli is of concern, but that 8th place in 2019 fell into the “out of the blue” category. I also think this week would be a time to select a player that is looking for form (e.g an Eddie Pepperell or a first-time winner).

The reason, this course is forgiving, rather wide and will not punish those that may get nervous down the stretch.

I expect him to see the Dom Pedro Victoria Golf Course as an opportunity to find something. Fisher doesn’t smash the approach stats that I would like to see albeit he isn’t a million miles away on the greens (+0.27).

If there is a course with greens large enough for those approach stats to turn the other way, then the Dom Pedro Victoria Golf Course is the one. Oli has amazing memories here and will want to find something this week to relight his season & career. This week is definitely a week to pick an outsider or a long shot, mine this week is Fisher.

European Tour: Euram Bank Open betting preview and tips from Ben Coley

After a 150/1 winner last week and a 250/1 winner earlier in the season, don't miss Ben Coley's latest European Tour preview.

Recommended bets

2pts e.w. Lorenzo Gagli at 20/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)

1pt e.w. Pedro Figuieredo at 60/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)

1pt e.w. Marcel Siem at 100/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)

1pt e.w. Hurly Long at 200/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)

1pt e.w. Julien Brun at 250/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)

The most striking feature of the PGA Tour's return has been how difficult it has been for anyone outside golf's elite to muscle in and contend for titles. Daniel Berger might have been outside the world's top 100 before victory at Colonial, but his form in the spring had been outstanding, and his form in the past was enough to earn him a Presidents Cup place. Since then, all four winners have been either established at the top of the sport or, as in Collin Morikawa's case, rapidly completing that process. Strong fields have produced exactly what you would expect them to.

The return of the European Tour, hand-in-hand with the Challenge Tour, went somewhat differently. The field for last week's Austrian Open was stretched, rather than deep; there were a handful of excellent players, for this grade, and then all sorts of others. As such we got something predictable only in its messiness: those excellent players weren't at their best and yet weren't far away, and the top 10 had everything from a formerly classy champion to a 56-year-old veteran, a couple of Scottish youngsters with bright futures, and a German who turned professional, then reinstated his amateur status, and is now professional again.

Almost anything goes when fields look like the one we have for the Euram Bank Open, and once again there's just no need to be steaming into someone like Joost Luiten at prices from 5/1 to 13/2. The Dutchman had every chance last week and while he can be forgiven for not being at his best come the crunch, what with the time away from the course, he still ought to have done much better. Without stats it's hard to know why, but I'd speculate he continues to look less than convincing on the greens.

With Luiten opposable, 18-year-old phenom Joohyung Kim highly unlikely to take up his place in the field, and Adri Arnaus again taking on terrain which appears to undermine his powerhouse approach, another eclectic leaderboard is the only confident prediction here. Perhaps the one lesson we did learn should be applied on Sunday, though: class is class, and Marc Warren was just a little more comfortable than some younger opponents when it came to the crunch.

🔥🤑 @BenColeyGolf has been in OUTRAGEOUS form and sealed a 150/1 winner on Sunday thanks to Marc Warren! 💰 This year's winning tips: 😲 250/1 - Sami Valimaki ✅ 50/1 - Cameron Smith ✅ 33/1 - Sungjae Im ✅ 30/1 - Dustin Johnson 😲 150/1 - Marc Warren https://t.co/AJD88tgpmg — Sporting Life (@SportingLife) July 13, 2020

This week's course looks absolutely stunning, and it's again a shame we'll have to scour the internet for a local feed if we want to see it. No wonder Adamstal has been voted among the best in Europe: looking through images of this fiddly, undulating layout, perhaps Kim would in fact be wise to make the long trek from South Korea after all.

At 6,473 yards (caveat: the European Tour have played the odd rope-a-dope in the past), what's clear is that this is among the shortest courses you'll see in operation on any significant men's tour. But it's not necessarily a total pushover. Calum Hill won the Challenge Tour event here last summer in 18-under, but he was four clear; 12 months earlier, Darius van Driel shot 17-under to edge out David Law in a thriller. There will be low scores and it's harder than last week's, but danger does await if you're wild off the tee.

Going through interviews from both those events, and even rewinding to a breakthrough Challenge Tour win for Rafa Cabrera Bello more than a decade ago, and two things feature throughout. First and foremost, the undulations here are significant, and the walks from green to tee particularly taxing. Perhaps those following Warren's lead and carrying their own bag will regret it. Secondly, you have to drive the ball well. Everyone says so, and looking through the scorecard it does seem the biggest trouble spots await tee-shots.

All of it rather brings to mind Crans-sur-Sierre, the even more picturesque home of the European Masters, and that's partly why I'm willing to take a fairly short price about LORENZO GAGLI .

This Italian is a fairways-and-greens type who has been around for a while without winning much, but at 34 there's plenty of evidence to suggest he's in the form of his life. Prior to lockdown, finishes such as 10th in Oman and 12th in Qatar are miles clear of what most of these are capable of, with last summer's 14th in Scotland and second in Switzerland better still.

The latter came at Crans, where he was in a play-off which featured Rory McIlroy but was won by Sebastian Soderberg, and it confirms what we know about Gagli. He relies on an old-fashioned set of skills, and is only ever likely to be a factor on the European Tour at courses which are short, tight, and rewarding of those who don't seek to overpower them.

Like Crans, there are a couple of holes here which can be attacked with driver, but I suspect the winner will be someone who piles up chances and avoids disaster off the tee. There's every chance it could be Gagli, who is 31st in driving accuracy and an impressive fifth in strokes-gained approach so far this year.

His sole Challenge Tour win came at Muthaiga, an old-fashioned, undulating course in Nairobi, and his second place to Lee Slattery in Madrid was again at a course where those hitting fairways came to the fore. This place simply looks ideal for him, and if we turn the clock back all the way back to 2008, he did shoot a brace of 67s to be bang in the mix in a Challenge Tour event here before a disappointing weekend.

Gagli produced four solid rounds for 25th last week and can improve upon that to hit the frame in this weaker field. Beyond Luiten, he looks among the most likely winners and I think he's a perfectly fair price when you look at the calibre of player right behind him in the betting. Relative to this grade, he really does have a touch of class.

Although playing in Vienna last week should be seen as a positive, this is a very different course and I'm hopeful PEDRO FIGUEIREDO might again take to it as he emerges from lockdown.

Once highly-touted, the Portuguese hasn't quite made as much of his opportunities as I'd have expected, but throughout an uninspiring rookie campaign on the European Tour he dropped several big hints that he can at some stage complete the transition.

At the aforementioned European Masters in September, he led the field in strokes-gained approach and he was second a week later in Germany, followed by sixth at the KLM Open - this is a standard of approach play which should provide the foundations for a successful career at the highest level.

Clearly, there are some issues elsewhere in his game which have prevented him from taking full advantage, but that effort at Crans in particular stands out and he was at it again when third for approach shots on his last start in the spring.

I can't stress enough how much of a drop in grade this is, and with top-10 finishes from both starts at the course, he's cherry-picked his return to action. Perhaps rust or a cold putter will catch him out, but at 60/1 this proven Challenge Tour winner is worth chancing. He has bags of ability and that alone makes him stand out here.

Matthew Baldwin and Matt Ford are the sort of straight-hitting players who should go well again here, as might the diminutive Daan Huizing, but next on my list is a veteran who is up to following Warren's lead and ending his own victory drought.

MARCEL SIEM 's career is actually pretty similar to that of the Scot, and there have been similar signs of promise over the last nine to 12 months - more so than last week's winner, in fact.

Back in the spring, Siem sat eighth, fifth and 16th after the first round of his final three events before the break, and these strong starts to me indicate a player who is working his way back to form but hasn't quite been able to see it through just yet.

Here in Austria, in a weak field, and with several months' more range work in the bag, I can see him doing so - especially after a solid, back-to-school 23rd last week, on what was his first look at Diamond Country Club.

He's making his debut here, too, but if it does come down to the driver, few are better placed. In fact, Siem ranked third among this field in strokes-gained off the tee last season, 10th in 2018, and for all the form and fitness issues he's had, that part of his game has continued to excel.

In two of his last three starts on the European Tour he has in fact ranked 10th or better in strokes-gained tee-to-green, and without wishing to labour the point this is a much lower level. Indeed it's lower still than last week, when he improved his position at the end of each round in an eye-catching comeback.

Should Siem build on that, he's entitled to be a factor here and it's also worth noting that he turns 40 on Wednesday. There are numerous examples of players hitting a milestone birthday and redoubling their efforts to make the most of what time they have left competing as a professional. This fiery German could well be the latest to up his game.

Enjoy this trick shot with our ambassador Marcel Siem and tag us #HeritageResorts @HeritageResorts to partake in the Lockdown Golf Challenge. 🏌️‍♂️ Contest: https://t.co/tmFOdSXNLB #LockdownGolfChallenge #HeritageResorts #Golf #Contest pic.twitter.com/Zc7p9IWkCw — Heritage Golf Club (@HeritageGolf) April 27, 2020

For all that my top three selections are proven in this sort of grade, it would clearly not be at all surprising were a potential star to emerge in the way that Sami Valimaki did in Oman earlier this year. There's just nothing to fear here, not even in the event of a Sunday two-ball with Arnaus or Luiten, and youngsters these days are generally ready to take their chances.

That's why Garrick Higgo is prominent in the market and why Thomas Rosenmuller should be considered, but if the latter is between 55 and 80/1 I can't for the life of me understand why HURLY LONG should be quoted at 200s, and he's worth risking.

The reason for the comparison is that Rosenmuller and Long are two of the brightest prospects in German golf, and their paths have been similar. The thing is, Long looks further along his: while he won the Pro Golf Tour's order of merit in 2019, Rosenmuller was down in 24th. And while Long has been dipping his toe into deeper waters, Rosenmuller has been free to make a splash on the PGT in the early months of 2020.

Clearly, both have immense potential, but those neat form figures of Rosenmuller (16-24-1-3-6-5) seem to obscure the fact that Long was a better amateur, and may well retain that advantage having been playing in much stronger events lately.

Of course, a discrepancy between two players never makes a bet, but I do like how Long played last week, a sharpener which may give him an edge on several - including his compatriot. I also like the fact he won in Austria on the Pro Golf Tour, courtesy of a final-round 60, and come the end of the campaign he was just ahead of Valimaki in taking the money list to add real substance to his form.

Since then, 33rd at European Tour Qualifying School (way ahead of Rosenmuller, by the way) was an excellent effort, and he was 30th at halfway and 32nd through 54 holes of the SA Open won by Branden Grace. Like so many, he's quickly learned what it takes and he looks to have the quality to contend for a tournament like this one, with fond memories of Austria and a strong showing last week to build on.

Name: Hurly Long Interesting fact about yourself: I hold the course record with a 61 at Pebble Beach pic.twitter.com/jnwKyo3GX2 — Mark Townsend (@MTownsendGolf) November 20, 2019

Believe it or not, the nature of this course earned Matteo Manassero a place on the shortlist, and having learned he beat Renato Paratore (15th last week as one of the favourites) by a shot in an event in Italy recently, he almost made the actual staking plan at 250/1.

The trouble is, those signs of life which pointed to Warren just are not there, not at tour-level, and he was last seen missing cuts on the Nordic Golf League. I hope these months away really have helped this popular, one-time teen prodigy find something to work with, but he has to go unbacked despite the enormous prices we now see next to his name.

JULIEN BRUN is also an enormous price, but he has provided some tangible clues that he's on the way back.

As an amateur, Brun was at the very top of the tree in France and in fact made the top 10 in the world. He was considered more promising than Victor Perez, even the excellent Gary Stal, and enjoyed a fine college career in the US.

Brun even managed to win a Challenge Tour event about as strong as this one before he'd turned professional, beating Eddie Pepperell, Mike Lorenzo Vera and Peter Uihlein to do it, and at 27 years old it's too soon to be writing him off completely.

Years of struggle across multiple tours have left Brun way down the Challenge Tour priority list, but a move to Prague last year and a change in coach seems to have sparked him into life. He's played four events on the PGT this year, winning one and never finishing worse than 16th, and was sixth in the money list when things ground to a halt.

As with Rosenmuller, this is form which needs context, but where Brun is concerned it doesn't appear to have been taken at all seriously by the layers, and that may be a mistake. Given the ability he has and what he has achieved with three wins in tour-level professional events, I would've thought this big step forward in the early months of the year might have seen them go on the defensive a little.

We can also call upon more recent evidence, as Brun won a Czech event (yes, I know) with a round of 65 before finishing third behind Antione Rozner and Gregory Havret in that strong French tournament I referenced last week. That it didn't point to a strong performance from Rozner shouldn't discourage us from considering that it might still amount to worthwhile form.

With Brun, it's just another piece of a bigger picture, one which suggests he's turned a corner. When you consider that he was 31st here in 2018, with form figures of MC-MC-MC-MC-63, and 30th a year later with form figures of MC-MC-MC-29-MC, never shooting worse than 70 and averaging 68.50, odds of 250/1 start to look extremely generous.

Posted at 1900 BST on 13/07/20

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Fixtures & Results

First round betting odds for the ISPS Handa Championship

Christiaan Bezuidenhout 12/1 Matthieu Pavon 14/1 Keita Nakajima 16/1 Jordan Smith 20/1 Takumi Kanaya 20/1 Sebastian Söderberg 25/1 Tom McKibbin 25/1 Yannik Paul 25/1 Ewen Ferguson 28/1 Richard Mansell 33/1 Zander Lombard 33/1 Bernd Wiesberger 35/1 Jesper Svensson 35/1 Joost Luiten 35/1 Romain Langasque 35/1 Alejandro Del Rey 40/1 Antoine Rozner 40/1 Connor Syme 45/1 Taiga Semikawa 45/1 Adrian Otaegui 50/1 Frederic Lacroix 50/1 Pablo Larrazábal 50/1 Niklas Nørgaard Møller 55/1 Calum Hill 60/1 Gavin Green 60/1 Haotong Li 60/1 Jeff Winther 60/1 Matteo Manassero 60/1 Matthew Jordan 60/1 Sam Bairstow 60/1 Andy Sullivan 66/1 Dan Bradbury 66/1 Shubhankar Sharma 66/1 Daniel Hillier 70/1 Guido Migliozzi 70/1 Marcus Helligkilde 70/1 Paul Waring 70/1 Ryo Ishikawa 70/1 Sean Crocker 70/1 Shaun Norris 70/1 Shugo Imahira 70/1 Grant Forrest 80/1 Julien Guerrier 80/1 Louis De Jager 80/1 Scott Jamieson 80/1 Ugo Coussaud 80/1 Kazuma Kobori 90/1 Masahiro Kawamura 90/1

First round betting odds for the Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Cantlay+Schauffele 4/1 McIlroy+Lowry 15/2 Theegala+Zalatoris 8/1 Morikawa+Kitayama 14/1 Conners+Pendrith 25/1 Hoge+McNealy 25/1 M Fitzpatrick+A Fitzpatrick 25/1 N Højgaard+R Højgaard 25/1 N Taylor+Hadwin 28/1 Garnett+Straka 33/1 Ghim+C Kim 40/1 Mitchell+Dahmen 40/1 Moore+NeSmith 40/1 Eckroat+Gotterup 45/1 Horschel+Alexander 45/1 Thompson+Novak 45/1 Berger+Perez 50/1 Detry+MacIntyre 50/1 Hardy+Riley 50/1 Hossler+Ryder 50/1 K.H.Lee+M Kim 50/1 Montgomery+Griffin 50/1 Wallace+Olesen 50/1 D Wu+Lower 66/1 Higgo+Fox 66/1 List+Norlander 66/1 Phillips+Bridgeman 66/1 Putnam+Highsmith 66/1 Rai+Lipsky 66/1 Smalley+Schmid 66/1 Echavarria+Greyserman 70/1 Lashley+Campos 70/1 Sigg+Hadley 70/1 Yu+Pan 70/1 Johnson+Palmer 80/1 Lawrence+Potgieter 80/1 Streelman+Laird 80/1 Woodland+Hodges 80/1 Meissner+Smotherman 90/1 Norrman+Campillo 90/1 P Coody+P Coody 90/1 Kraft+Tway 100/1 Malnati+Knox 100/1 Ramey+Trainer 100/1 Suh+Hoey 100/1

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ISPS Handa Championship 25-28 April 2024

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The European Tour heads to Rome, Italy and the Olgiata Golf Club which was designed by Ken Cotton and Frank Pennink which opened for play in 1962 with another nine holes being added later, making the club a 27-hole complex. 2023 Free Golf Betting Tips Click Here rgiata Golf Club is around 12-miles from the centre of Rome with the Olgiata area having a very rich history that dates back over 3000 years with the lands becoming battlefields for 2022 Free Golf Betting Tips Click Here rd a few thousand years the lands

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Expert Picks: Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Expert Picks

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How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated after each round. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments.

Aside from the experts below, Golfbet Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans in this week's edition of Power Rankings .

Betting picks

WILL GRAY (Lead, Fantasy & Betting)

• Winners: Nick Taylor/Adam Hadwin (+2800) – Two proven TOUR winners that will be looking to channel some good Presidents Cup vibes. I remain impressed with Taylor’s grasp of clutch moments and think these two could have the right resolve in crunch time.
• Top 10: Taylor Moore/Matthew NeSmith (+300) – An eye-catching price on a pair that finished T4 here each of the last two years and now has double the margin for error to still cash a placement bet.
• Longshot: Dylan Wu/Justin Lower (+6600) – Lower is someone that I think is trending toward a breakthrough, including a T4 finish last week in Punta Cana while Wu has been largely solid this spring.
• H2H: Taylor/Hadwin (-110) over Sepp Straka/Brice Garnett – Like Matt, I’m going to run it back with my winner’s pick in the head-to-head market as I’ll happily back the Canadians over a duo that has been more erratic in recent weeks, particularly Garnett outside of his Puerto Rico win.

BEN EVERILL (Senior writer, Fantasy & Betting)

• Winners: Schauffele/Cantlay (+450) – I’m not a fan of advocating these short odds but this smells of a few years ago where these two can play their way back into full confidence ahead of the rest of the season.
• Top 10: Nicolai Højgaard/Rasmus Højgaard (+210) – One of three sets of brothers in the field this one brings firepower and winning gravitas from the DP World Tour. This is a preview for future Ryder Cups …
• Longshots: Pierceson Coody/Parker Coody (+10000) – Let’s keep the brotherly love going. They have the teamwork side of things down pat and many a good judge from the lower leagues of golf suggest these two are stars in the making with clearly a good pedigree in the sport.
• H2H: Højgaard/Højgaard (-110) over Matt Fitzpatrick/Alex Fitzpatrick – As good as Matt Fitzpatrick is, I’m still waiting to see more from Alex. He was awesome at The Open Championship last year but struggled a bit in this event leaving me to trust the Højgaards.

CHRIS BREECE (Senior content manager, Golfbet)

• Winners: Schauffele/Cantlay (+450) – It’s one of those weeks where I feel like overthinking things is a bad idea. Both players have shown they are making progress towards getting back to the top of their games. Both are also hungry for a win. With so many random pairings out there, I’m willing to take the short odds.
• Top 10: Collin Morikawa/Kurt Kitayama (+115) – Morikawa has gotten things figured out. Though Kitayama hasn’t lived up to the standards of his Arnold Palmer Invitational win presented by Mastercard last year, he’s playing consistent golf right now with a Top 40 in nine of his 10 starts in 2024.
• Longshot: Nick Hardy/Davis Riley (+5500) – The winners here last year. They’ve proven they love the team format and will find that spark again.
• H2H: Taylor/Hadwin (-110) over Straka/Garnett – The pair finished second last year. Taylor has a win this year. Hadwin has two top-fives in his last six starts.

MATT DELVECCHIO (Social content manager, Fantasy & Betting)

• Winners: Davis Thompson/Andrew Novak (+4500) – It’s hard to find a pairing where both players are in good form. Novak was red hot in February and Thompson has had solid showings late March through early April. I trust the two of these guys will be able to lean on each other's ball-striking and put up a ton of birdies.
• Top 10: Corey Conners/Taylor Pendrith (+225) – Both of the Canadian pairings have a lot to like but I’ll lean Conners/Pendrith over Taylor/Hadwin.
• Longshot: Garrick Higgo/Ryan Fox (+6600) – The hope is that Fox can motivate Higgo to put together some great scoring this week. Fox has obviously been great recently, it's Higgo who is the wild car. I trust the team format brings some good play out of him.
• H2H: Thompson/Novak (+105) over Doug Ghim/Chan Kim – Running back my winner in the matchup (could come back to hurt me).

Odds were sourced on Tuesday, April 23. For live odds, visit BetMGM .

Want to see how to set up your PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf lineup? Scroll below.

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Joining the league is simple. Just click here to sign up or log in. Once you create a team, click the "LEAGUES" tab. Then click on "FEATURED," and then on the PGA TOUR Experts league that populates.

*Brett Jungles joined the Expert Picks league at the beginning of Segment 1 and did not accumulate any points from the FedExCup Fall.

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